Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Action Insight Daily Report 1-19-11

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Risk Appetites Come Back, UK Job Data, BoC MPR Watched

Risk appetites are staging a mild come back in the markets as Asian equities are broadly higher following US stocks on optimism about earnings. Dollar continues to dip lower against other major currencies. In particular, Aussie is strong today and jumps to two week high against dollar on China growth optimism and rebound in Shanghais stocks. Euro is lagging behind as the meeting between European finance ministers yielded no agreements on expanding the crisis handling plan despite positive comments out of the meeting. Markets focus will remain on development in Eurozone as well as growth data in US.

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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9926; (P) 0.9965; (R1) 1.0034; More

AUD/USD's break of 1.0019 resistance indicates that rebound from 0.9803 has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection at 1.0072. Break there will target a retest on 1.0254 high. On the downside, below 0.9856 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for 0.9803 support instead.

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Special Reports

BOC Keeps Overnight Rate at 1% and Raises GDP Growth for 2011 and 2012

As expected, the Bank of Canada left the overnight rate unchanged at 1%, after raising it by +25 bps in September. Policymakers revised up economic growth outlook for 2011 and 2012 but reiterated that the economy will not reach full output until the end of 2012 while core rate of inflation will not rise to 2% until then.

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2011 Currency and Monetary Policy Outlook 2011 Elliott Wave Forecast

Franc's Safe-Haven Status Remains In 2011, SNB To Tighten In Mid-Year Read more...

JPY to be Weighed Down by Lower Yields and BOJ's Additional Easing Read more...

Fiscal Tightening the Main Theme for UK in 2011 Read more...

Uneven Growth Story Prolongs EZ's Hard Time while Money-Printing Nature in SMP will Send Euro Lower Read more...

US - A Shift from Monetary to Fiscal Stimulus Read more...

Economic Indicators Update


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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Jan -5.70% -- 0.20%
23:50 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Nov 0.60% 0.60% 0.50% 0.30%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account Nov -7.3B -9.8B
9:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Dec -- 4.50%
9:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change Dec -1.4K -1.2K
9:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Nov 7.90% 7.90%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M Nov 1.10% 1.70%
13:30 USD Building Permits Dec 0.56M 0.54M
13:30 USD Housing Starts Dec 0.55M 0.56M
15:30 CAD BoC Monetary Policy Report -- --
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: GBP/USD – Exit long entered at 1.5935

Although the British pound has rebounded after finding renewed buying interest at 1.5933 overnight as suggested in our previous update (we recommended to buy cable at 1.5935), break of resistance at 1.6060 is needed to signal upmove from 1.5345 has resumed and extend gain to 1.6085-95 (previous chart resistance as well as 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.5475 to 1.5889 measuring from 1.5832)

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY – Sell at 82.80

As the greenback has fallen again after meeting renewed selling interest around previous resistance at 82.81, suggesting the decline from 83.70 top is still in progress for a stronger retracement of recent upmove to 81.99 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 80.93 to 83.70) but reckon 81.50 would hold from here, bring rebound later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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