Monday, February 22, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 2-23-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Daily Report

Dollar Pullback Might Extend in European Session

Markets are still staying in tight range today so far but dollar looks set to extend recent pullback in early European session. Comments from San Francisco Fed Janet Yellen were dovish overnight. Yellen said there's no presumption that last week's discount rate hike was the first of many steps. Also, she doesn't not support increase in the fed fund rate yet because of sluggish economic outlook persistent high unemployment and low inflation risks. Also, Fed could re-consider mortgage-backed securities buying program after expiry in March if there was a significant and serious change in the economic outlook.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Buy At 1.3490

The single currency continued to trade in narrow range and further consolidation is expected, however, as we are keeping our view that temporary low has possibly been formed at 1.3443 last week, downside should be limited to 1.3524 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3443 to yesterdays high of 1.3655) and 1.3480/90 should attract renewed buying interest, bring another rise later. Above said resistance would add credence to our view and further gain to the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 1.3675) would follow but break there is needed to confirm and bring retracement of recent fall towards resistance at 1.3789 later.

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY- Buy At 90.10

As dollar has remained under pressure, suggesting near term downside risk remains for the fall from last week's high at 92.16 to bring stronger retracement of recent rise and weakness to support at 90.56 and possibly 90.36 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 88.55 to 92.16) cannot be ruled out, however, reckon the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 90.08) would contain downside and bring rebound later. Above the Tenkan-Sen (now at 91.42) would be the first sign that pullback from 92.16 has possibly ended but only breach of 91.90 (yesterdays high) would confirm and bring retest of 92.16, then later towards 92.50/60 but upside should be limited to 93.00.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5434; (P) 1.5477; (R1) 1.5523; More

GBP/USD's recovery is still in progress and further rise cannot be ruled out. But after all, upside is expected to be limited well below 1.5814 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 1.5430 minor support will flip intraday bias back to the downside first. Break of 1.5350 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.6456 to 1.5534 from 1.5814 at 1.5244 next.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
GBPUSD 1.5526 1.5480 +46 +0.30%
GBPCHF 1.6706 1.6658 +48 +0.29%
EURUSD 1.3628 1.3595 +33 +0.24%
EURCHF 1.4664 1.4630 +34 +0.23%
GBPAUD 1.7229 1.7190 +39 +0.23%

Last Updated: Feb 23, 06:45 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Feb 23, 06:45 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY BoJ Minutes
07:00 CHF UBS Consumption Indicator Jan -- 1.195
09:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate Feb 96.1 95.8
09:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations Feb 100.5 100.6
09:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment Feb 91.9 91.2
14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Dec -3.00% -5.30%
15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Feb 54.8 55.9
Suggested Readings

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Technical Highlights

 

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