Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-9-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Speculation on Greece Bailout Lifts Euro

Euro's recovery extends further today as the common currency is lifted by speculation of a bailout package from EU for Greece. The speculation started when ECB President Trichet left Australia earlier than planned to attend a council meeting on Thursday. And it's speculated that a deal for Greece bailout would be closed during the meeting. Markets elsewhere are generally in consolidation mode with dollar continue to trade with a soft tone. Commodities are generally higher with crude oil and gold pressing 73 and 1180 respectively. The greenback will possibly continue to be soft for a while as markets digest recent sharp gains.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 121.50

Although the single currency has moved higher again and test of indicated resistance at 123.33 (Friday's high) is likely, still needs to break this level to signal the wave v of the c leg from 134.37 has possibly ended at 120.70 and bring correction of recent decline towards 124.45 (wave iii trough) and then towards 125.00.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Sell At 0.8845

The Australian dollar continued to edge higher as we suggested in our previous update and we are keeping our count that minor wave iii of recent C leg decline from 0.9331 has ended at 0.8578 and consolidation would take place in wave iv for recovery towards 0.8846 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave iii from 0.9280 to 0.8578), however, renewed selling interest should emerge there and bring another decline later.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0686; (P) 1.0729; (R1) 1.0775; More.

USD/CHF's pull back from 1.0793 is still in progress and drops to as low as 1.0654 so far. Further decline could still be seen to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.0612) but after all, downside is expected to be contained by 1.0497/0640 support zone and bring rally resumption. Above 1.0745 minor resistance will flip intraday bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.0793 will bring rally resumption to medium term trend line resistance at 1.0921 next.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
NZDJPY 61.89 60.94 +95 +1.53%
AUDJPY 78.21 77.17 +104 +1.33%
NZDUSD 0.6911 0.6829 +82 +1.19%
CADJPY 83.87 82.94 +93 +1.11%
EURJPY 123.08 121.82 +126 +1.02%

Last Updated: Feb 09, 14:10 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Feb 09, 14:10 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
0:01 GBP U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor Jan -0.70% -- 4.20%
0:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Jan 32% 28% 30%
6:00 JPY Machine Tool Orders Y/Y Jan P 192.00% -- 62.80% 63.40%
7:00 EUR German Trade Balance (EUR) Dec 16.7B 14.8B 17.4B 17.0B
7:00 EUR German CPI M/M Jan F -0.60% -0.60% -0.60%
7:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Jan F 0.80% 0.80% 0.80%
9:30 GBP Visible Trade Balance (GBP) Dec -7.3B -6.6B -6.8B
15:00 USD Wholesale Inventories Dec 0.50% 1.50%
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