Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-23-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Yen Rebound Accelerates after Poor US Consumer Confidence

Yen rebound strongly today while dollar follows. Positive sentiments fade after disappointment from Germany Ifo business climates and dovish comments from BoE King. Buying of yen intensified after disappointing consumer confidence reading from US. Yen is also lifted as speculation for a Fed hike in near term cooled. Dollar on the other hand, is helped by sharp fall in crude oil which sent it back from intraday high of 80.39 to below 79 level. Data from US saw S&P/Case-Shiller 20 cities home price rose for second consecutive months by 0.3% mom in December, down -3.1% yoy. Conference Board consumer confidence dropped sharply to 10 month low of 46 in February.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 123.15

Despite intra-day brief bounce to 124.54, current retreat suggests near term downside risk remains for the fall from 125.24 (yesterday's high) to bring marginal weakness, however, as long as support at 122.76 holds, mild upside bias remains for the rise from 120.70 to resume after consolidation. Above said resistance would confirm low has been formed and extend headway to 125.50 and later towards resistance at 126.98.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.8950

Aussie's breach of indicated resistance at 0.9037 signals early decline has indeed ended at 0.8578 as the wave C and upside bias is seen for further gain to 0.9100 and later to 0.9150 but only break of resistance at 0.9175 would confirm entire correction from 0.9407 is over, then headway to 0.9250 would follow.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.50; (P) 141.34; (R1) 141.90; More

GBP/JPY's break of 140.70 minor support suggests that recovery from 138.23 might have completed at 143.59 already. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside for 138.23 first. Break will confirm that recent decline has resumed and should target 61.8% retracement of 118.81 to 163.05 at 135.70 next. On the upside, above 141.70 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and bring more consolidations. But after all, upside is expected to be limited by 145.26 resistance and bring fall resumption.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
CHFJPY 83.96 84.68 -72 -0.86%
EURJPY 123.06 123.90 -84 -0.68%
GBPJPY 140.19 141.07 -88 -0.63%
NZDJPY 63.58 63.91 -33 -0.52%
USDCHF 1.0812 1.0761 +51 +0.47%

Last Updated: Feb 23, 14:45 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Feb 23, 14:45 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY BoJ Minutes
07:00 CHF UBS Consumption Indicator Jan -- 1.195
09:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate Feb 96.1 95.8
09:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations Feb 100.5 100.6
09:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment Feb 91.9 91.2
14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Dec -3.00% -5.30%
15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Feb 54.8 55.9
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