Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-17-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Dollar Recovers after Housing Data, Helped by Rally in USD/JPY

Dollar is trying to recover against Euro and Swiss in early US session after release of better than expected new residential construction data. Housing starts rose more than expected to 591k annualized rate in January while building permits dropped to 621k but was above expectation of 620k. NAHB index released yesterday also showed improvement to 17 in February. Industrial production also rose more than expected by 0.9% in January. The greenback is helped by strong rally in USD/JPY and pared some of this week's loss against Euro and Swissy. Nevertheless, it's still soft against commodity currencies. Focus now turns to FOMC minutes to be released later today.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 123.50

The single currency rallied in line with our expectation, reaching our indicated upside target at 124.30 and the breach of resistance at 124.28 signal the wave v of larger degree c leg has ended at 120.70, hence further gain towards 125.00 and later towards resistance at 126.98.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Exit Short Entered At 0.9000

As the Australian dollar has maintained a firm undertone, suggesting the decline from 0.9331 has possibly ended at 0.8578 as the wave C, hence, upside risk remains for further gain to 0.9100, however, only break of 0.9175 (wave i tough) would confirm this view.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 89.87; (P) 90.05; (R1) 90.19; More.

USD/JPY's rebound from 88.57 accelerated today and reached as high as 91.09 so far. Further rise could still be see. But after all, we'd still expect fall from 93.74 to continue as long as 91.26 resistance holds. BElow 90.13 minor support should flip intraday bias back to the downside for 88.57 support and then 87.36. However, decisive break of 91.26 will invalidate the bearish view and suggest that rise from 84.81 is still in progress for another high above 93.74.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
AUDJPY 82.10 81.30 +80 +0.97%
NZDJPY 64.28 63.71 +57 +0.89%
USDJPY 90.91 90.13 +78 +0.86%
CADJPY 87.09 86.38 +71 +0.82%
GBPJPY 143.41 142.31 +110 +0.77%

Last Updated: Feb 17, 14:05 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Feb 17, 14:05 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Dec 0.50% -- 1.00%
23:50 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Dec -0.90% -0.20% -0.20% -0.10%
9:30 GBP BoE Meeting Minutes -- --
9:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change Jan -10.0K -15.2K
9:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Jan 5.00% 5.00%
9:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Dec 7.80% 7.80%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Dec 3.9B 3.9B
13:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Dec -- 2.50%
13:30 USD Housing Starts Jan 580K 557K
13:30 USD Building Permits Jan 620K 653K
13:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Jan 0.80% 0.00%
14:15 USD Industrial Production Jan 0.80% 0.60%
14:15 USD Capacity Utilization Jan 72.60% 72.00%
19:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes -- --
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