Monday, February 22, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-22-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Yen Recovers But Dollar Remains Soft

Yen recovers earlier today as strength in Asian equities was not followed through in European session. The Japanese currency was also supported by speculation of Chinese yuan revaluation later this year to cool inflation. Euro remains firm even though the rumor of a EUR 25b rescue plan for greece was denied. Also, there is little impact from George Soro's comment that "the survival of Greece would still leave the future of the euro in question, ..... and if member countries cannot take the next steps forward, the euro may fall apart." Dollar, on the other hand, remains generally soft as crude oil and gold continue to hover around 80 and 1120/30.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 123.60

Although the single currency retreated after intra-day rise to 125.24, the series of higher highs and higher lows from 120.70 suggests low has been formed there and bullishness remains for further gain to 125.50 and later towards resistance at 126.98.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Exit Short Entered At 0.9000

Although aussie has retreated after faltering below resistance at 0.9037, the strong rebound from 0.8879 suggests upside risk remains and break of this resistance would signal the rise from 0.8578 is still in progress and gain to 0.9100 would follow but 0.9175 should hold from here.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0704; (P) 1.0801; (R1) 1.0852; More.

USD/CHF stabilizes a bit after hitting 4 hours 55 EMA but there is no sign of completion of retreat from 1.0897 yet. Intraday bias remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen below 1.0897. Nevertheless, another rise is still in favor as long as 1.0646 support holds. Sustained trading above medium term trend line resistance (now at 1.0864) swill pave the way to 161.8% projection of 0.9916 to 1.0506 from 1.0131 at 1.1086 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD and RSI, break of 1.0646 support will indicate that a short term top is formed and will bring deeper pull back towards 1.0506 resistance turned support first.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
NZDUSD 0.7022 0.6992 +30 +0.43%
NZDJPY 64.14 63.98 +16 +0.25%
AUDCAD 0.9359 0.9337 +22 +0.24%
AUDNZD 1.2815 1.2843 -28 -0.22%
CADJPY 87.86 88.04 -18 -0.20%

Last Updated: Feb 22, 14:25 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Feb 22, 14:25 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
00:30 AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales M/M Jan -3.40% -- 3.30%
16:00 USD Fed's Yellen Speaks in San Diego on U.S. Economy -- --
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