Friday, February 26, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 2-26-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Dollar Steady after GDP Revision, Sterling Pressured

Dollar remains steady in range in early US session after release of better than expected Q4 GDP data. GDP growth was revised up from 5.7% annualized to 5.9% versus expectation of downward revision to 5.6%. Markets are lacking a clear direction for the moment except apparent weakness in Sterling. Commodities are providing little guidance as crude oil is struggling around 78 level while gold hovers above 1100.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 120.30

The strong rebound from 119.66 suggests a temporary low has possibly been formed there as wave v and consolidation with upside bias would be seen, however, break of resistance at 122.62 is needed to confirm this view and bring stronger rise towards 123.00/10.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.8770

Although aussie rebounded after yesterday's fall to 0.8800, a firm breach of 0.8957-68 (previous minor resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9072 to 0.8800) is needed to signal the retreat from 0.9072 has ended at 0.8800 as wave ii, then further gain to 0.9000 and then retest of 0.9072 would follow, otherwise, one more corrective fall to 0.8767 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave i from 0.8578 to 0.9072) cannot be ruled out before prospect of another rally.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5161; (P) 1.5291; (R1) 1.5394; More

GBP/USD's fall resumes after brief recovery and edges lower to 1.5716 in early US session. Intraday bias remains on the downside and further decline should be seen towards 100% projection at 1.4892, which is close to 61.8% retracement of 1.3053 to 1.7043 at 1.4855. On the upside, above 1.5317 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited by 1.5574 resistance and bring fall resumption.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
GBPAUD 1.7072 1.7180 -108 -0.63%
GBPCHF 1.6385 1.6486 -101 -0.62%
EURGBP 0.8930 0.8875 +55 +0.62%
GBPCAD 1.6102 1.6191 -89 -0.55%
GBPUSD 1.5190 1.5264 -74 -0.49%

Last Updated: Feb 26, 13:45 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Feb 26, 13:45 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Trade Balance NZD Jan 269M -99M 2M -32M
23:15 JPY Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing PMI Feb 52.5 -- 52.5
23:30 JPY National CPI Y/Y Jan -1.30% -1.40% -1.70%
23:30 JPY National CPI Ex-Fresh Food Y/Y Jan -1.30% -1.30% -1.30%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Ex-Fresh Food Y/Y Feb -1.80% -2.00% -2.00%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Jan P 2.50% 1.00% 1.90%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production Y/Y Jan P 18.20% 16.50% 5.10%
23:50 JPY Retail Sales Y/Y Jan 2.60% -0.10% -0.30% -0.20%
00:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey Feb -14 -17 -17
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Jan -8.10% -11.60% -15.70%
09:30 GBP GDP Q/Q Q4 P 0.30% 0.20% 0.10%
09:30 GBP GDP Y/Y Q4 P -3.30% -3.10% -3.20%
09:30 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Dec 0.50% 0.30% 0.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI M/M Jan -0.80% -0.80% 0.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Jan 1.00% 1.00% 0.90%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Core CPI Y/Y Jan 0.90% 1.00% 1.10%
10:30 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Feb 1.87 1.8 1.77 1.81
13:30 CAD Current Account (CAD) Q4 -9.8B -8.7B -13.1B
13:30 USD GDP (Annualized) Q4 P 5.90% 5.60% 5.70%
13:30 USD GDP Price Index Q4 P 0.40% 0.60% 0.60%
14:45 USD Chicago PMI Feb 59 61.5
14:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Feb F 73.9 73.7
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales Jan 5.50M 5.45M
-- EUR German CPI M/M Feb P 0.50% -0.60%
-- EUR German CPI Y/Y Feb P 0.70% 0.80%
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