Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 11-24-10

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Korean Worry Fades, Eurozone Concerns Stay

Dollar turns sideway today as Asian markets recover from yesterday's sharp selloff after impact from Korea fades. United Nations Command called for genearl office-level talks with North Korean through their Panmujom Mission to "descalate the situation" and stop "unprovoked attacks". Investors are also calmed a bit after South Korea said it will supply "ample" liquidity in local and foreign currencies if needed to shield markets from any shocks. Also, Fitch said it's not considering "negative rating action" on its A+ rating with a stable outlook for South Korea. Markets seem to be forgeting the Korean incidence quickly unless there will be another firing.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9931; (R1) 1.0015; More.

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment as it's still staying in tight range below 0.9996. Nevertheless, whole rebound from 0.9462 is still in favor to continue and break of 0.9996 will target 100% projection of 0.9462 to 0.9970 from 0.9547 at 1.0055 next and break will target 1.0330 key cluster resistance then. On the downside, however, below 0.9848 minor support will argue that rise form 0.9547 is completed and will flip bias back to the downside for 0.9462/9547 support zone instead.

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Featured Technical Report

Fed Remains Concerned About Unemployment And Low Inflation

The FOMC minutes for the November meeting provided few surprises. Although the committee revised growth forecasts lower and unemployment rates higher, these were predictable as economic conditions deteriorated sharply since June's projections. Policymakers were generally worried about the improvement in job market and sluggishness in inflation. Yet these comments were known through various public speeches by Fed officials since the November meeting.

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Economic Indicators Update


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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
09:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate Nov 107.5 107.6
09:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment Nov 110.4 110.2
09:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations Nov 104.7 105.1
09:30 GBP GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.80% 0.80%
09:30 GBP GDP Y/Y Q3 P 2.60% 2.80%
09:30 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Sep 0.60% 0.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial New Orders M/M Sep -2.70% 5.30%
13:30 USD Durable Goods Orders Oct 0.00% 3.50%
13:30 USD Durables Ex Transportation Oct 0.70% -0.40%
13:30 USD Personal Income Oct 0.40% -0.10%
13:30 USD Personal Spending Oct 0.50% 0.20%
13:30 USD PCE Core M/M Oct 0.10% 0.00%
13:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Oct 1.00% 1.20%
13:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Oct 1.30% 1.40%
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claim 434K 439K
14:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Nov F 69.3 69.3
15:00 USD House Price Index M/M Sep -0.10% 0.40%
15:00 USD New Home Sales Oct 315K 307K
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.9M -7.3M
17:00 USD Natural Gas Storage -6B 3B
Candlesticks and Ichimoku Intraday Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/JPY – Hold short entered at 83.20

Although the greenback rebounded after yesterday's selloff from 83.85 to 82.78, reckon upside would be limited to the Ichimoku cloud area (now at 83.36-40) and bring another decline. A break of said support would bring a stronger retracement of recent upmove to 82.45/50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 81.64 to 83.85), then towards 82.20

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Trade Idea: EUR/USD – Sell at 1.3450

As the single currency has recovered after yesterday's selloff to 1.3359 and price has broken above the Tenkan-Sen, suggesting minor consolidation would be seen and retracement to 1.3450/55 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3600 to 1.3359) cannot be ruled out, however, reckon the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.3483) would hold, bring another decline later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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