Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 12-28-10

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Extends Weakness, New Record Low Against Swissy

Dollar's selloff extends further today and, in particular, reaches new record low against Swiss Franc. Treasury yields recover in early US session but gives little support to the greenback. Gold rides on dollar's weakness and jumps back to above 1400 level while crude oil is steady above 91. Both are giving strong support to commodity currencies with AUD/USD heading towards 1.0181 record high while USD/CAD breaks below parity again. Nevertheless, Euro and Sterling are both relatively weak as selling pressures build up in respective swiss and yen crosses.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9568; (P) 0.9607; (R1) 0.9639; More.

USD/CHF falls to as low as 0.9434 so far today and the break of 0.9462 low confirms that recent down trend has resumed. Intraday bias remains on the downside and further decline should be seen to next target of 100% projection of 1.2296 to 0.9916 from 1.1729 at 0.9349. on the upside, break of 0.9663 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Nov -0.40% 0.30% -0.40%
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Nov 5.10% 5.10% 5.10%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Dec -0.40% -0.40% -0.50%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Nov -0.50% -0.50% -0.60%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Nov P 1.00% 0.90% -2.00%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production Y/Y Nov P 5.80% 5.50% 4.30%
23:50 JPY Retail Sales Y/Y Nov 1.30% 0.40% -0.20%
07:00 CHF UBS Consumption Indicator Nov 1.63 -- 1.72 1.71
14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Oct -0.80% -0.18% 0.59%
15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Dec 52.5 56.3 54.1
Forex Trade Ideas

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year, next Ichimoku & Candlestick Trade Idea, and Elliott Wave Trade Ideas update will resume on 3 Jan 2011.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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