Thursday, May 13, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 5-13-10

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Yen Soft on Stock Rebound, Aussie Boosted by Employment Gain

Japanese yen is broadly soft in Asian session today, following recovery in US and global equities. Gold also retreats from record high of 1249.2 as risk aversion recedes a bit. Commodity currencies are generally high but the strengthen is somewhat lagging behind the strength of rebound in stocks. Nevertheless, Aussie is recovering noticeably as supported by solid employment data from Australia. Dollar index continues to lose momentum and weakens mildly from yesterday's high. After all, markets are generally staying in range and we'd expect more consolidations in near term.

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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8889; (P) 0.8934; (R1) 0.8980; More

The strong rebound from 0.8888, with 4 hours MACD back above signal line suggests that AUD/USD's rebound for 0.8715 is possibly regathering momentum for another rise. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 61.8% projection of 0.8715 to 0.9077 from 0.8888 at 0.9112. But we'd expect strong resistance from 0.9134/9324 resistance to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.8888 will in turn indicate that rebound from 0.8715 has finished and will turn bias back to the downside for retesting this low.

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Trade Idea: EUR/USD – Sell at 1.2750

As euro has continued to move higher after holding above yesterday's low at 1.2605, suggesting further consolidation would be seen and although recovery to 1.2740-50 cannot be ruled out, reckon renewed selling interest would emerge there and 1.2790/95 (approx. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3095 to 1.2605) should hold, bring another decline later.

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Trade Idea: USD/CHF – Hold long entered at 1.1085

Despite yesterday's retreat to 1.1060, as dollar found support there and has rebounded, suggesting as long as this level holds, mild upside bias remains for another rise to resistance at 1.1139, break there would extend upmove from 1.0924 towards next resistance at 1.1184, however, above there is needed to confirm correction from 1.1245 has ended and bring resumption of early upmove for an eventual retest of 1.1245.

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