Friday, May 21, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 5-21-10

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Intervention Talks Dominate, Euro Extends Rebound, Yen Steady Despite Falling Stocks

Asian stocks tumble sharply following yesterday's -376pts fall in DOW. Nikkei is down -2.45% to close at 9784, 10000 for the first time since February. Gold also drops to as low as 1166 level before recovering mildly. However, there is little reaction in the forex markets as traders are holding their bets as intervention talk circulates around. Euro extends this week's rebound broadly, led by another sharp rally in EUR/CHF which breaches 1.45 level. Japan Finance Minister Kan is quoted saying he's closely watching markets to ensure the "won't be any excessive yen rises." There are also rumors that RBA is checking prices amid this week's free fall in Aussie.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4188; (P) 1.4321; (R1) 1.4501; More

EUR/CHF had another sharp rally and soared to as high 1.4587 but once again retreated sharply. The break of 1.4465 resistance bears important technical implications as it suggests that a medium term bottom is formed at 1.4002. While some more volatility is anticipated, we'd expect more short positions to be closed out in near term and the cross would likely continue to rebound further.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
3:40 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
6:00 EUR German GDPQ/Q Q1 F 0.20% 0.20% 0.20%
7:30 EUR German PMI Services May A 55.4 55.2
7:30 EUR German PMI Manufacturing May A 61.2 61.5
8:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations May 103.5 104
8:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate May 101.9 101.6
8:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment May 100 99.3
8:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Services May A 55.6 55.6
8:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Manufacturing May A 57.4 57.6
8:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Mar -2.7B -3.9B
8:30 GBP Major Banks Mortgage Approvals Apr 53K 52K 49K
8:30 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Apr 10.9B 23.5B
8:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Apr P 0.30% 0.20%
8:30 GBP M4 Money Supply Y/Y Apr P 3.80% 3.60%
11:00 CAD CPI M/M Apr 0.20% 0.00%
11:00 CAD CPI Y/Y Apr 1.70% 1.40%
11:00 CAD BoC CPI Core M/M Apr 0.10% -0.20%
11:00 CAD BoC CPI Core Y/Y Apr 1.80% 1.70%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Mar 0.00% 0.50%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales Less Autos M/M Mar 0.40% -0.10%
Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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