Friday, May 7, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 5-7-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Steady after NFP, CAD Boosted by Record Employment Growth

Dollar remains steady in early US session after stronger than expected Non-farm payroll report. Job market in US expanded by 290k in April, much stronger than expectation of 180k. Prior month's figure was also revised up from 162k to 230k. However, unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed from 9.7% to 9.9%. Markets reaction is so far muted as the greenback is staying in range against major currencies.

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Special Reports

ECB Maintains Monetary Policy Unchanged. No Discussion on Bond Purchase

ECB leaves the main refinancing rate unchanged at 1% and keeps the monetary statement largely unchanged from previous meetings despite heightened sovereign crisis in the Eurozone. Investors are disappointed and dumped the euro more severely as the central bank refrains from implementing more loosening measures to stimulate economy.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Stand aside

Although aussie tumbled to as low as 0.8711 yesterday on massive risk aversion, the strong and quick rebound from there suggests the 3rd c leg of wave (ii) has possibly ended there and consolidation would be seen, however, above 0.9000/10 is needed to add credence to this view and bring further gain to 0.9100, then 0.9155/65. Break of latter resistance would confirm, then headway to 0.9250 would follow.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0287; (P) 1.0513; (R1) 1.0745; More.

USDCAD's sharp pull back from 1.0734 extends further to as low as 1.0496 so far and more decline might still be still. Nevertheless, we'd still expect downside to be contained above 1.0280 support and bring another rise. ABove 1.0571 minor resistance will flip intraday intraday bias back to the upside and break of 1.0734 will target 1.0779 key resistance next. Though, note that decisive break of 1.0280 will indicate that rise from 0.9929 is completed and will turn focus back to this low.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
CADJPY 89.04 86.03 +301 +3.38%
EURJPY 117.53 114.32 +321 +2.73%
NZDJPY 66.10 64.33 +177 +2.68%
AUDJPY 82.26 80.16 +210 +2.55%
GBPCAD 1.5234 1.5603 -369 -2.42%

Last Updated: May 07 13:00 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD              
EUR              
JPY              
GBP              
CHF              
CAD              
AUD              

Last Updated: May 07 13:00 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Monetary Base Y/Y Apr 2.90% 2.40% 2.10%
01:30 AUD RBA Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement
05:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Apr 4.00% 4.10% 4.10%
07:15 CHF Retail Sales (Real) Y/Y Mar 4.50% 2.90% 3.10% 2.70%
08:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Apr 0.60% 1.00% 3.60% 3.80%
08:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Apr 13.10% 13.10% 10.10% 10.30%
08:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Apr 1.40% 0.50% 0.90%
08:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Apr 5.70% 4.80% 5.00%
08:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Apr 4.40% 3.50% 3.60% 3.70%
10:00 EUR German Industrial Production M/M Mar 4.00% 1.50% 0.00% -0.20%
11:00 CAD Net Change in Employment Apr 108.7K 24.3K 17.9K
11:00 CAD Unemployment Rate Apr 8.10% 8.20% 8.20%
12:30 USD Change in Non-Farm Payrolls Apr 290K 180K 162K 230K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate Apr 9.90% 9.70% 9.70%
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