Monday, September 27, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 9-27-10

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Japan Considering JPY 4-5T Stimulus, Yen Steady

Asian equities are generally lifted by speculations that Japan is planning to introduce a further stimulus measures, but forex markets remain relatively steady. Japan's ruling democratic party might introduce a JPY 4-5T stimulus package as the effect of prior measures fade. Data from Japan saw trade surplus widened to JPY 0.59T in August. However, exports has been consistently weak since February. Indeed, August's decline in exports, by -2.3% mom, was the largest seen this year, showing the challenges posted by a strong yen on the export-led economy. It's believed that the Japanese government does need to do more to boost domestic demand to help Japan sustain its economic recovery.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.65; (P) 113.20; (R1) 114.14; More

While EUR/JPY is losing some upside momentum, there is no sign of topping yet. Further rally is still expected with 112.16 support intact. Current rise from 105.79 is expected to continue to 114.72 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 112.16 will indicate that a short term top is formed and bring pull back. But downside should be contained by 109.54 resistance turned support and bring another rise.

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Corporate Service Price Y/Y Aug -1.10% -1.20% -1.20% -1.10%
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Aug 0.59T 0.52T 0.61T 0.59T
8:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Y/Y Aug 0.30% 0.20%
Candlesticks and Ichimoku Intraday Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/JPY – Sell at 84.60

Dollar's near term sideways trading is expected to continue and although recovery to the Ichimoku cloud bottom (now at 84.47) is seen, renewed selling interest should emerge around 84.60/65 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 85.40 to 84.12) and the Kijun-Sen (now at 84.76) should hold, bring another decline.

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