Sunday, January 31, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 2-1-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Daily Report

Dollar and Yen Edge Higher on Risk Aversion, Manufacturing Data in Focus

Dollar and yen strengthen as the week starts on risk aversion as Asian stocks are broadly lower following Friday's late selloff in US equities. There were also some concerns on more tightening from China after release of PMI manufacturing data. The official PMI manufacturing index in China dropped slightly to 55.8 but remains well above 50 level. meanwhile, the HSBC manufacturing PMI rose to a record high of 57.4. Nevertheless, dollar and yen pare some gains as the day goes as stocks recover.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell At 1.4020

As the single currency has continued to move lower on dollar's broad-based strength after the release of solid Q4 GDP data and indicated downside target at 1.3854 (61.8% projection of 1.4580 to 1.4029 measuring from 1.4195) has been met, suggesting further weakness towards 1.3800 is under way, however, reckon 1.3748 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.2885 to 1.5145) would hold from here and bring rebound later due to oversold condition.

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Exit Long Entered At 90.00

Despite Friday's rise to 90.93, as the greenback ran into heavy offers right at the Ichimoku cloud top and the retreat from there suggest consolidation with mild downside bias would be seen, however, only break of Friday's low at 89.57 would signal the rebound from 89.14 has ended there, then retest of this support would be seen, break there would extend the decline from 93.78 for a stronger retracement of the rise from 84.82 towards 88.83 but reckon support at 88.32 would remain intact.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.52; (P) 144.87; (R1) 145.58; More

GBP/JPY's break of 143.62 support today indicates that whole fall from 150.68 is resuming. Intraday bias remains on the downside as long as 144.92 minor resistance holds. Further fall should be seen to 141.99 support next. As noted before, choppy rise from 139.26, as well as the three wave consolidation pattern from 139.69, has completed at 150.68 already and current decline is expected to continue to retest 139.26 low eventually. On the upside, above 144.92 will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring more sideway trading. But after all, we'll hold on to the bearish view as long as 147.25 resistance holds.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
EURGBP 0.8706 0.8672 +34 +0.39%
GBPJPY 143.85 144.22 -37 -0.26%
GBPCHF 1.6911 1.6947 -36 -0.21%
GBPUSD 1.5947 1.5978 -31 -0.19%
EURAUD 1.5712 1.5682 +30 +0.19%

Last Updated: Feb 01, 06:50 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Feb 01, 06:50 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
0:30 AUD House Price Index Q/Q Q4 5.20% 3.70% 4.20% 4.40%
8:30 CHF SVME-PMI Jan 55.5 54.6
8:55 EUR German PMI Manufacturing Jan F 53.4 53.4
9:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Manufacturing Jan F 52 52
9:30 GBP PMI Manufacturing Jan 53.9 54.1
13:30 USD Personal Income Dec 0.30% 0.40%
13:30 USD Personal Spending Dec 0.30% 0.50%
13:30 USD PCE Core M/M Dec 0.10% 0.00%
13:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Dec 1.50% 1.40%
13:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Dec 2.20% 1.50%
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Jan 55.6 55.9
15:00 USD ISM Prices Paid Jan 63 61.5
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Dec -0.40% -0.60%
15:00 USD Treasury's Geithner Testifies to Senate Finance Committee -- --
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