Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-20-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Euro's Heavy Selloff Continues, Canadian Dollar Down after CPI

Euro continues trade heavily across on concern of Greece's deficit. IMF Managing Director Strass-Kahn came out and said that it's a serious problem even though he doesn't expect "fragmentation of the Eurozone". Greek Finance Minister Papaconstantinou said speculation the country would leave the eurozone is "absolutely absurd". Papaconstantinou said that Greece had no plans to ask for a loan from IMF and reaffirmed the government's commitment to put its public finances in order. However, Euro has little reaction to Papa Constantinou and extends recent fall against dollar, yen and sterling.

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Special Report

BOE Minutes: Unanimous Vote as Long-Term Inflation Outlook Remains Subdued

The BOE minutes showed that members voted unanimously to keep the policy rate unchanged at 0.5% and the asset purchase program unchanged at 200B pound. While economic activities have been recovering since the previous meeting, there's still risk that the inflation will undershoot the 2% target.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

EUR/CHF Elliott Wave Analysis

Euro remains under pressure after recent selloff below support at 1.5000/06 (now turned into a resistance), suggesting the c leg wave ii correction from 1.5448 is still unfolding and already reached our indicated downside target at 1.4750, although weakness to 1.4650 cannot be ruled out, as this move is treated as retracement of the rise from 1.4577, as long as this support holds, prospect of a strong rebound remains.

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USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis

Despite falling marginally to 1.0225 last week, as the greenback has recovered from there, suggesting consolidation would be seen and gain to 1.0410/20 cannot be ruled out, however, only a daily close above resistance at 1.0579 would signal the fall from 1.0871 has ended, then further gain to 1.0748/50 would follow.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0258; (P) 1.0302; (R1) 1.0358; More.

USD/CAD rises further to as high as 1.0451 in early US session and the strong break of 1.0412 resistance confirms out view that fall from 1.0744 has completed at 1.0233 with bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Also, whole consolidation pattern from 1.0851 should have completed too. Intraday bias now remains on the upside for 1.0744 resistance first. Break there will confirm this bullish case and target 1.0851 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.0376 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained well above 1.0223 low and bring rally resumption.

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All Technical Outlook Reports

Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
NZDJPY 65.63 67.00 -137 -2.09%
NZDUSD 0.7214 0.7352 -138 -1.91%
CADJPY 87.08 88.34 -126 -1.45%
CHFJPY 87.14 88.25 -111 -1.27%
USDCAD 1.0446 1.0313 +133 +1.27%

Last Updated: Jan 20, 13:35 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Jan 20, 13:35 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:45 NZD CPI Q/Q Q4 -0.20% 0.00% 1.30%
21:45 NZD CPI Y/Y Q4 2.00% 2.10% 1.70%
23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Jan 5.60% -- -3.80%
23:50 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Nov -0.20% -0.20% 0.50% 0.40%
07:00 EUR German PPI M/M Dec -0.10% 0.20% 0.10%
07:00 EUR German PPI Y/Y Dec -5.20% -5.10% -5.90%
09:30 GBP BoE Policy Meeting Minutes 0--0--9 0--0--9 0--0--9
09:30 GBP Claimant Count Change Dec -15.2K -4.6K -6.3K -10.8K
09:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Dec 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
09:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Nov 7.80% 8.00% 7.90%
12:00 CAD CPI M/M Dec -0.30% 0.20% 0.50%
12:00 CAD CPI Y/Y Dec 1.30% 1.80% 1.00%
12:00 CAD BoC CPI Core M/M Dec -0.30% 0.10% 0.40%
12:00 CAD BoC CPI Core Y/Y Dec 1.50% 1.90% 1.50%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M Nov 0.10% 1.40% 2.00%
13:30 USD PPI M/M Dec 0.20% 0.00% 1.80%
13:30 USD PPI Y/Y Dec 4.40% 4.60% 2.40%
13:30 USD PPI Core M/M Dec 0.00% 0.10% 0.50%
13:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Dec 0.90% 1.00% 1.20%
13:30 USD Housing Starts Dec 557K 574K 574K 580K
13:30 USD Building Permits Dec 653K 580K 584K 589K
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