Friday, January 15, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-15-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Euro Remains Pressured, Yen Pares Gain after Solid US Data

Euro remains broadly pressured in early US session as concern on Greece's fiscal health continue to weigh down the common currency. Yen was lifted up earlier today on risk aversion but pares some of its gain after release of stronger than expectation manufacturing data from US. Pound remains relatively steady as supported by buying in EUR/GBP cross. Dollar is a bit firmer against commodity currencies as crude oil and gold weaken mildly.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.9130

Despite yesterday's marginal rise to 0.9331, lack of follow through buying and the retreat from there suggest the wave iv is still unfolding with a leg ended at 0.9170 and irregular b at 0.9331, then the c leg of iv is now in progress for test of 0.9170, then towards 0.9122 (previous 4th of one lesser degree) before prospect of another upmove in wave v later. Above resistance at 0.9331 would signal the wave v is underway for headway to 0.9350/60 but reckon recent high at 0.9407 would hold on first testing.

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Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Stand Aside

The single currency tumbled on risk aversion after the release of soft U.S. data and decline accelerated after breaking support at 131.51, suggesting the rise from 127.32 has ended at 134.37 as the wave (i) of iii, hence correction in wave (ii) is under way for weakness to 130.01 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave (i) from 127.32 to 134.37) and possibly towards 129.00, however, price should stay well above support at 127.32 and bring another rally next week.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4445; (P) 1.4500; (R1) 1.4554; More

EUR/USD's fall from 1.4578 extends further to as low as 1.4359 today and at this point, intraday bias remains on the downside downside for 1.4266 support. As noted before, correction from 1.4217 has likely completed at 1.4578 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.5143 to 1.4217 at 1.4571. Break of 1.4266 will suggest that whole fall from 1.5143 has resumed for 38.2% retracement of 1.2329 to 1.5143 at 1.4068 next. On the upside, above 1.4445 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.4578 resistance holds.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
EURJPY 131.01 132.24 -123 -0.94%
CHFJPY 88.78 89.51 -73 -0.82%
AUDJPY 84.28 84.96 -68 -0.81%
EURUSD 1.4386 1.4499 -113 -0.79%
NZDJPY 67.24 67.70 -46 -0.68%

Last Updated: Jan 15, 14:20 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Jan 15, 14:20 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
07:00 EUR German WPI M/M Dec 0.20% 0.50% 0.70%
08:15 CHF Combined PPI M/M Dec 0.10% 0.20% 0.00%
08:15 CHF Combined PPI Y/Y Dec -2.50% -2.50% -3.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI M/M Dec 0.30% 0.30% 0.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Dec 0.90% 0.90% 0.50%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI - Core Y/Y Dec 1.10% 1.00% 1.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Nov 3.9B 5.4B 6.3B 4.7B
13:30 CAD New Motor Vehicle Sales M/M Nov -6.00% -7.00% 3.50%
13:30 USD CPI M/M Dec 0.10% 0.20% 0.40%
13:30 USD CPI Y/Y Dec 2.70% 2.80% 1.80%
13:30 USD CPI Core M/M Dec 0.10% 0.10% 0.00%
13:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Dec 1.80% 1.80% 1.70%
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Jan 15.9 11 2.55
14:15 USD Industrial Production Dec 0.60% 0.80%
14:15 USD Capacity Utilization Dec 71.70% 71.30%
14:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Jan P 73.7 72.5
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