Thursday, January 7, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-7-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Dollar Lifted by PBoC Yield Hike and Japan FM Comments

Dollar strengthens broadly into US session after comments from new Finance Minister Naoto Kan sent USD/JPY above 93 level. Risk aversion also helped the greenback after surprised yield hike from People's Bank of China to curb record lending. European majors are generally lower against the greenback with Sterling under pressure after a non-eventful BoE announcement. Aussie also pared earlier gains and dropped sharply from today's high of 0.9264 to 0.916 level. Nevertheless, Canadian dollar is relatively resilient as crude oil is still managing to stay above 82 level.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 132.60

Euro's strong rebound from 131.26 signals correction from 133.79 has ended there and consolidation with upside bias remains for a retest of this resistance but break there is needed to confirm upmove has resumed for eventual headway towards 134.54.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.9100

As the Australian dollar has finally retreated after rising to 0.9268 today, suggesting minor wave (iii) has possibly ended there and consolidation would be seen in minor wave (iv) of iii back to 0.9100 (approx. the previous 4th of one lesser degree) before prospect of another upmove in wave (v) of iii later today or tomorrow. Above said resistance at 0.9268 would extend upmove to 0.9290/00 first.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 91.64; (P) 92.19; (R1) 92.85; More.

USD/JPY's rise from 91.24 extends further today and the break of 93.20 resistance indicates that whole rally from 84.81 is still in progress and has resumed. Intraday bias is flipped back to the upside and further rise could now be seen towards medium term trend line resistance at 95.08 and 55 weeks EMA at 94.21. ON the downside, though a break of 92.08 minor support will serve as a signal that USD/JPY has topped out and will flip intraday bias back to the downside for 91.24 support first and then 87.36.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
CADJPY 90.25 89.40 +85 +0.94%
USDJPY 93.14 92.31 +83 +0.89%
AUDJPY 85.56 84.89 +67 +0.78%
USDCHF 1.0351 1.0275 +76 +0.73%
GBPCAD 1.6427 1.6535 -108 -0.66%

Last Updated: Jan 07, 13:50 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Jan 07, 13:50 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Nov -269M -397M -487M -495M
00:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Nov 1.40% 0.40% 0.30% 0.40%
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Nov -1.70B -1.79B -2.38B -2.08B
08:15 CHF CPI M/M Dec -0.20% 0.00% 0.20%
08:15 CHF CPI Y/Y Dec 0.30% 0.50% 0.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Nov -1.20% 0.00% 0.10% 0.20%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales Y/Y Nov -4.00% -1.90% -1.50% -1.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Dec -16 -16 -17
10:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Confidence Dec 91.3 90 88.8
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Dec -16 -17 -19
10:00 EUR Eurozone Services Confidence Dec -3 -3 -4
11:00 EUR German Factory Orders M/M Nov 0.20% 1.50% -2.10% -1.90%
11:00 EUR German Factory Orders Y/Y Nov 1.80% -0.30% -8.50% -8.20%
12:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%
12:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Target 200B 200B 200B
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 434K 449K 432K
15:00 CAD Ivey PMI Dec 51.5 55.9
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -147B -124B
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