Friday, January 8, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-8-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Dollar Sold off after NFP Disappointment

Dollar spikes lower after Non-Farm Payrolls shocked the market by showing -85k contraction in December. Nevertheless, November's data was revised up to 4k, which was the first expansion since Jan 2008. Unemployment rate was unchanged at 10.0%. The Japanese yen is mildly higher on risk aversion. Also released in US session, Canadian job market unexpectedly contacted by -2.6k in December but unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.5%.

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Special Report

2010 Currency Outlook: USD

After strong rallies in 2008 and early 2009, USD peaked in March. In order to combat the worst recession since the World War II, the Fed reduced the policy rate to an unprecedentedly low level and implemented a series of quantitative easing policies. The 'twin deficits' problem (current account and fiscal deficits) has put USD's status as the reserve currency at risks and triggered investors to dump the currency. Worries about the dollar's future as well as increase in risk appetite as global economic outlook recovered later in 2009 brought the greenback to extremely low levels.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5865; (P) 1.5962; (R1) 1.6028; More

GBP/USD's strong rebound and break of 1.6057 resistance suggests that pullback from 1.6237 has completed at 1.5896 already. Whole rebound from 1.5829 is possibly resuming and intraday bias is flipped back to the upside for 100% projection of 1.5829 to 1.6327 from 1.5896 at 1.6304. But upside should be limited below 61.8% retracement of 1.6875 to 1.5829 at 1.6475 and bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.5896 will flip intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 1.5829 support.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
GBPCAD 1.6625 1.6480 +145 +0.87%
GBPUSD 1.6069 1.5932 +137 +0.85%
CADJPY 89.46 90.20 -74 -0.83%
USDJPY 92.57 93.33 -76 -0.82%
EURCAD 1.4881 1.4797 +84 +0.56%

Last Updated: Jan 08, 14:25 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Jan 08, 14:25 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
05:00 JPY Leading Index Nov P 91.2 91.2 89.7 89.4
06:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Dec 4.20% 4.20% 4.10%
07:00 EUR German Trade Balance (EUR) Nov 17.4B 12.4B 13.6B 13.4B
09:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Dec 0.10% -0.20% 0.10%
09:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Dec 6.90% 6.50% 4.00%
09:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Dec 0.50% 0.20% 0.20%
09:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Dec 3.50% 3.10% 2.90%
09:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Dec 2.60% 1.90% 2.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q3 F 0.40% 0.40% 0.40%
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Y/Y Q3 F -4.00% -4.10% -4.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Nov 10.00% 9.90% 9.80% 9.90%
11:00 EUR German Industrial Production M/M Nov 0.70% 1.10% -1.80% -1.70%
12:00 CAD Net Change in Employment Dec -2.6K 20.0K 79.1K
12:00 CAD Unemployment Rate Dec 8.50% 8.50% 8.50%
13:30 USD Change in Non-Farm Payrolls Dec -85K 0K -11K 4k
13:30 USD Unemployment Rate Dec 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
15:00 USD Wholesale Inventories Nov -0.30% 0.30%
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