Monday, January 4, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-4-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Dollar Pressured as Solid Manufacturing Data Boosts Risk Appetite

Dollar is pressured throughout the data as investors' risk appetite got a boost as the new year starts, on solid manufacturing data. Commodity currencies are the biggest winners as China PMI manufacturing rose to 56.1, highest level since April 2004. Strong growth in the manufacturing sector in China will boost demand for commodities. Crude oil rides on the optimism and breaches 80 level today while gold also rises to as high as 1124.6 so far. Data released from US saw ISM manufacturing index rose more than expected to 55.9 in December.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.9000

As the Australian dollar has risen again after brief pullback, suggesting the rise from 0.8735 low remains in progress and further gain to 0.9150 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9407 to 0.8735) is likely, however, only break of resistance at 0.9197/00 would signal the correction from 0.9407 has ended and headway towards 0.9290/00 would follow.

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Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 132.50

Despite intra-day brief retreat to 132.40, as the single currency has risen again on renewed risk appetite, suggesting the rise from 127.32 is still in progress and may extend further gain to resistance at 134.54, however, break there is needed to retain bullishness and signal the wave iii from 126.95 is under way.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6064; (P) 1.6149; (R1) 1.6250; More

GBP/USD continues to stay in range of 1.6046/6232 today. In spite of the strong rebound, GBP/USD is still struggling to take out 38.2% retracement of 1.6875 to 1.5829 at 1.6229 decisively. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.6232 will suggest that whole rise from 1.5829 has resumed and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.6475. On the downside, below 1.6046 minor support will flip intraday bias back to the downside. But after all, more consolidations should still be seen as long as 1.5892 support holds and risk of another rise remains.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
USDCAD 1.0388 1.0529 -141 -1.36%
GBPAUD 1.7803 1.8030 -227 -1.28%
GBPCAD 1.6810 1.7020 -210 -1.25%
AUDUSD 0.9086 0.8973 +113 +1.24%
CADJPY 89.14 88.27 +87 +0.98%

Last Updated: Jan 04, 15:05 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Jan 04, 15:05 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
8:30 CHF SVME-PMI Dec 54.6 57.1 56.9
8:55 EUR German PMI Manufacturing Dec F 52.7 53.1 53.1
9:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Manufacturing Dec F 51.6 51.6 51.2
9:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Dec -3.7 -3.4 -5.5
9:30 GBP PMI Manufacturing Dec 54.1 52.1 51.8
9:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Nov 60.5K 58.0K 57.3K 57.7K
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Dec 55.9 54 53.6
15:00 USD ISM Prices Paid Dec 61.5 60 55
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Nov -0.60% -0.50% 0.00%
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