Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-12-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Yen Rallies as China Raises Bank Reserve Requirements

Yen rallies across the board as China took another step to cool lending by raising bank reserve requirements . Dollar, on the other hand, continues to consolidate against major currencies as crude oil and gold retreats. In particular, crude oil seems to be topped out in near term at 83.95 after missing 84 mark and extends it's pullback from there to as low as 81.26 so far today. USD/CAD is, thus lifted to as high as 1.0366 before being pressured by USD/JPY selling.

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Special Report

2010 Currency Outlook: EUR

In the near-term, we see further upside for the euro against the dollar as strong global economic recovery and a broad-based low interest rate environment continues to favor 'higher-yield' assets. Moreover, the disappointing US non-farm payrolls in December evaporated much speculation about an early Fed tightening. Renewed weakness in USD, after a strong recovery in late-2009, should persist for a few months before favorable data emerge again.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.9130

As aussie has retreated after rising to 0.9326 yesterday, suggesting consolidation below there would be seen (it is possible that the minor wave (v) of iii has ended there) and below 0.9200 would bring wave iv correction of wave iii towards 0.9122 (previous 4th of one lesser degree), however, reckon 0.9100/05 would limit downside, bring another rally in wave v later. Above said resistance would extend gain towards 0.9407 but break there is needed to retain bullishness.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 91.71; (P) 92.18; (R1) 92.56; More.

USD/JPY's fall from 93.74 extends further to as low as 91.32 so far in early US session and at this point, intraday bias remains on the downside for 91.24 support. Break there will indicate that whole rally from 84.81 might have completed at 93.74 already, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Deeper decline should then be seen to 87.36 support for confirmation. On the upside, above 92.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now remain on the downside as long as 93.74 resistance holds.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
AUDJPY 84.32 85.59 -127 -1.51%
CADJPY 88.02 89.07 -105 -1.19%
NZDJPY 67.53 68.28 -75 -1.11%
EURJPY 132.35 133.62 -127 -0.96%
GBPAUD 1.7493 1.7330 +163 +0.93%

Last Updated: Jan 12, 13:40 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Jan 12, 13:40 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Nov 1.30T 1.22T 1.38T
00:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Dec 30.00% 38.00% 35.00%
05:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Dec 35.4 34.2 33.9
09:30 GBP Visible Trade Balance (GBP) Nov -6.784B -7.000B -7.108B -7.020B
09:30 GBP DCLG UK House Prices Y/Y Nov 0.60% 0.40% -2.20%
13:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Nov 0.40% 0.30% 0.30%
13:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Nov -0.3B 0.7B 0.4B
13:30 USD Trade Balance Nov -36.4B -$34.8B -$32.9B
Suggested Readings

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Technical Highlights

 

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