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Mid-Day Report: EUR/USD Breaks 1.4 as ECB on Hold; Dollar Selloff ContinuesEuro extends rally in and breaches 1.4 level against dollar after ECB left rates unchanged at 1.00% today. ECB President Trichet said in the press conference that current rates are "appropriate" and more importantly, "accommodative". Trichet expect "price developments to remain moderate" and recovery to continue at "moderate" pace. The overall tone suggests that ECB is in no rush to cut rates, not expand its non-conventional measures to boost liquidity. | |
| Featured Technical Report | |
EUR/USD Mid-Day OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.3927; (P) 1.3930 (R1) 1.3933; More. EUR/USD's rally continues further in early US session and reaches as high as 1.4028 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside with 1.3897 minor support intact. Current rally is expected to continue to 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.3330 from 1.2587 at 1.4042. Break will target medium term trend line resistance at 1.4591. On the downside, below 1.3897 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring retreat. But break of 1.3636 support is needed to sign short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. |
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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF Sell at 0.9670As the greenback has recovered after intra-day fall to 0.9555, suggesting a minor low is in place and consolidation with mild upside bias is seen for retracement to 0.9644/45 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9789 to 0.9555 and previous support), however, renewed selling interest should emerge around the Ichimoku cloud bottom now at 0.9670) and bring another decline. Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD Buy at 1.3900As the single currency has maintained a firm undertone, suggesting bullishness remains for recent upmove to bring test of psychological resistance at 1.4000, above there would extend upmove to 1.4042-54 (1.618 times projection of 1.3559 to 1.3809 measuring from 1.3637 and 50% projection of 1.3637 to 1.3949 measuring from 1.3898) but loss of near term upward momentum would limit upside to 1.4090/00 and risk has increased for a retreat later. | Suggested Readings | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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