Saturday, October 23, 2010

Action Insight Weekly Report 10-23-10

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Focus Turn to UK and US GDP after G20, More Dollar Upside Ahead?

Markets were generally cautiously towards the end of last week as investors awaited G20 meeting. Though, some underlying developments are worth noting. Firstly, dollar did seem to found a bottom as we anticipated, with expectation gradually shifting from an aggressive one-off QE II program to a gradual one with an open end. Secondly, Sterling was noticeably the weaker major currency as there were growing believe that the government's austerity plan would need to be accompanied by another round of quantitative easing from BoE. Thirdly, Canadian dollar was also noticeably weak after BoC turned somewhat dovish and revised down growth forecasts. Fourthly, gold is possibly in progress of a deep near term correction to 1300 and below and has been providing some support to dollar and yen.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD's rebound from 0.9979 extended further to as high as 1.0371 last week before turning sideway. The development indicates that whole fall from 1.6071 has completed. Hence, further rise is now in favor after finishing the consolidation from 1.0371. Above will target a test on 1.0671/5 resistance zone. On the downside, below 1.0167 will bring deeper pull back towards 0.9979 low. But we'd still anticipate strong support from parity to contain downside.

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