Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 4-13-10

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Action Insight Daily Report

Euro Consolidates ahead of Greek Bond Auction, Yen Higher

Euro continues to digest this week's sharp gain against major currencies as markets are awaiting auction of EUR 1.2b Greece treasury bills to help pay more than EUR 2b of short-term debt. This is viewed as the first test of confidence on Greece after EU's announcement of a EUR 45b aid package over the weekend. Later in April, there will be an even more important test as Greece seeks to sell $5b to $10b of bonds that aim at US investors. The results of these auctions will be important in determining the momentum of the rebound in Euro.

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Special Report

Who Will Benefit from Revaluation in Yuan?

US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's unscheduled meeting to Beijing on April 8 and the postponement the deadline (originally on April 15) of a US review of China's currency policies rekindle speculations that the Chinese government will allow the Renminbi (RMB, CNY, Yuan) to appreciate.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Buy At 1.3535

Although yesterday's retreat from 1.3692 suggests minor top is formed and consolidation would take place, reckon renewed buying interest would merge around 1.3535 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3282 to 1.3692) and the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.3487, this is also the 50% Fibonacci retracement level) should hold, bring another upmove later. Above said resistance would extend the rise from 1.3267 low for a stronger retracement of early decline to 1.3769 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4580 to 1.3267) but 1.3819 resistance should cap upside.

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Stand Aside

This morning's breach of indicated support 92.83 has dampened our bullishness and signal temporary top has been formed at 94.78 earlier and correction of recent rise to support at 92.12 is now underway, however, reckon 91.67 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 89.75 to 94.78) would limit downside and support at 91.09 (previous resistance turned support) would remain intact and bring another upmove later this week.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 92.89; (P) 93.25; (R1) 93.61; More.

USD/JPY drops to as low as 92.57 so far today and the break of 92.82 support indicates that correction from 94.68 has resumed. Intraday bias is now on the downside for deeper correction towards 61.8% retracement of 89.83 to 94.68 at 91.68. On the upside, break of 93.77 resistance will indicate that fall from 94.68 is completed and will then flip intraday bias back to the upside for retesting this high.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
AUDJPY 85.86 86.46 -60 -0.70%
CADJPY 92.42 93.00 -58 -0.63%
EURJPY 126.12 126.73 -61 -0.48%
USDJPY 92.83 93.25 -42 -0.45%
AUDNZD 1.2960 1.3018 -58 -0.45%

Last Updated: Apr 13, 06:30 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 13, 06:30 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor Mar 4.40% -- 2.20%
23:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Mar 9% 18% 17% 18%
23:50 JPY Domestic CGPI Y/Y Mar -1.30% -1.10% -1.50% -1.60%
01:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Mar 16 -- 19
06:00 EUR German CPI M/M Mar F 0.50% 0.50%
06:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Mar F 1.10% 1.10%
06:00 EUR German WPI M/M Mar 0.50% 0.10%
08:30 GBP Visible Trade Balance (GBP) Feb -7.3B -8.0B
08:30 GBP DCLG UK House Prices Y/Y Feb -- 6.20%
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Feb 0.4B 0.8B
12:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Feb 0.50% 0.40%
12:30 USD Trade Balance Feb -$38.8B -$37.3B
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Mar 0.90% -0.30%
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