Friday, April 30, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 4-30-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Daily Report

AUD, NZD, GBP Strong as Risk Appetite Returns

Dollar and yen weaken further today as risk appetite continues to improve. Nikkei rose 1.21%, or 132pts, today following 1.1% rise in DOW. Crude is heading to 86 level while gold is back above 1170 again. Dollar index extends the retreat from 82.71 and is back below 82 level. Euro is relatively weak against commodity currencies on uncertainty over the final version of the Greece rescue package. Aussie, Kiwi and Sterling are the better performers today so far.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Buy At 93.00

As dollar has remained confined within near term narrow range, suggesting further consolidation would take place ahead of the release of U.S. economic data and only break of resistance at 94.43 would signal upmove has resumed and bring a retest of recent high at 94.78, above there would extend rise to 95.10 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 101.45-84.82) but reckon 95.73 (1.618 times projection of 91.60-93.45 measuring from 92.74) would hold from here.

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Trade Idea: USD/CHF - Buy At 1.0760

As dollar has traded narrowly, suggesting near term sideways trading would continue and whilst retracement towards the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 1.0755) cannot be ruled out, as long as support at 1.0300 holds, prospect of another rally remains. Above this week's high at 1.0925 would extend upmove to 1.0970/80 but reckon resistance at 1.1026 would remain intact.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9233; (P) 0.9263; (R1) 0.9305; More

AUD/USD's rebound from 0.9134 extends further to as high as 0.9317 so far today. The break of 0.9311 resistance indicates that choppy price actions from 0.9380 are merely consolidation in the larger rally and should have completed at 0.9134 already. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 0.9404 high and break will confirm medium term up trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9222 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
EURJPY 125.14 124.44 +70 +0.56%
NZDJPY 68.35 68.00 +35 +0.51%
AUDJPY 87.63 87.19 +44 +0.50%
CHFJPY 87.19 86.76 +43 +0.49%
EURUSD 1.3294 1.3233 +61 +0.46%

Last Updated: Apr 30, 07:10 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 30, 07:10 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey Apr -16 -14 -15
23:15 JPY Manufacturing PMI Apr 53.5 -- 52.4
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Mar 5.00% 4.90% 4.90%
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Mar 4.40% 0.70% -0.50%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Apr -1.90% -2.00% -1.80%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Mar -1.20% -1.20% -1.20%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Mar P 0.30% 0.80% -0.60%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production Y/Y Mar P 30.70% 31.10% 31.30%
4:15 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
5:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Mar -2.40% -5.80% -9.30%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Estimate Y/Y Apr 1.50% 1.40%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Mar 10.00% 10.00%
9:30 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Apr 1.99 1.93
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Feb 0.40% 0.60%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Mar 0.20% 0.00%
12:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index M/M Mar 0.90% 0.40%
12:30 USD GDP (Annualized) Q1 A 3.40% 5.60%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q1 A 0.90% 0.50%
12:30 USD Core PCE Q/Q Q1 A 0.50% 1.80%
12:30 USD Employment Cost Index Q1 0.50% 0.50%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Apr 60 58.8
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Apr F 71 69.5
Suggested Readings

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