Monday, April 19, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-19-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Dollar Rally Halts as DOW Holds on to 11000

Dollar's rally halts in early US session as the negative sentiments from Goldman Sach's case is countered by solid earnings report from Citigroup. DOW opens nearly flat and is still holding on to 11000 level. Meanwhile, crude oil is getting some support above 80 level and stabilizes after earlier selloff. Some consolidations might be seen first but still, markets sentiments is in a vulnerable state and the greenback and yen would be pushed higher if DOW gives way to 1100 level later in the session.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Sell At 124.70

Euro's breach of support at 123.43 has dampened our bullishness and signals only a leg of wave ii has ended there, followed by b leg at 127.69 and c leg of wave ii is still in progress and may extend weakness to 122.60/70, however, support at 121.05 support (wave ii trough) should remain intact and bring rebound later.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Exit Long Entered At 0.9170

Intra-day selloff on massive risk aversion adds credence to our view that only a leg of wave (ii) ended at 0.9225, followed by b leg at 0.9365 and c leg of wave (ii) is under way and downside risk is seen for further weakness to 0.9149 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9001 to 0.9389) and possibly to 0.9090/00 before prospect of another rebound later this week.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 91.67; (P) 92.40; (R1) 92.91; More.

USD/JPY dropped to as low as 91.59 earlier today but drew support from mentioned 61.8% retracement of 89.83 to 94.68 at 91.68 and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 92.57 minor resistance will suggest the correction from 94.68 is completed and will flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance first. However, note that sustained trading below 94.68 will argue that whole rise from 88.13 might have completed too and will bring deeper fall to near term trend line support at 89.67,

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
GBPJPY 140.65 141.58 -93 -0.66%
GBPUSD 1.5266 1.5361 -95 -0.62%
AUDNZD 1.2963 1.3041 -78 -0.60%
CHFJPY 86.37 86.83 -46 -0.53%
USDCHF 1.0666 1.0614 +52 +0.49%

Last Updated: Apr 19, 14:05 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 19, 14:05 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP Rightmove House Prices M/M Apr 2.60% -- 0.10%
23:01 GBP Rightmove House Prices Y/Y Apr 6.00% -- 5.30%
5:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Households Mar 40.9 39.8 39.8
12:30 CAD International Securities Transactions (CAD) Feb 6.72B -- 11.830B
13:00 USD Fed Evans Speaks -- --
13:00 USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks -- --
14:00 USD Leading Indicators Mar 1.4% 1.00% 0.10%
20:00 USD Fed Duke Speaks -- --
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