Thursday, April 15, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 4-15-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Daily Report

Daily Report: Dollar and Yen on Defensive, Sterling Lifted by Poll Results

Dollar and yen remain on defensive after strong data from China reinforced the view that global recovery is gaining momentum. Commodity currencies are firm as usual in risk seeking market sentiments. On the other hand, Sterling is also noticeably strong as election poll showed some stabilization in the political situation in UK. Euro continues to tread water against dollar but is soft against European majors.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: USD/CHF - Sell At 1.0635

Despite intra-day fall to 1.0508, as yesterday's low at 1.0503 has continued to hold, current rebound suggests further consolidation would take place and retracement to 1.0610/15 (approx. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0786 to 1.0503 and the current level of the Ichimoku cloud bottom) cannot be ruled out, however, renewed selling should emerge around the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.0633) and bring another decline later. A firm break indicated support at 1.0500/03 would confirm the decline from 1.0899 top has resumed for eventual retest of 1.0435.

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Trade Idea: GBP/USD - Sell At 1.5650

Although cable's breach of 1.5486 resistance signals recent rise from 1.4781 low is still in progress for a stronger retracement of early decline to 1.5530/40, loss of upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 1.5575-82 (previous resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6879 to 1.4781) and reckon selling interest would emerge around 1.5652 ((100% projection of 1.4798 to 1.5320 measuring from 1.5130) and bring retreat later. Below the Tenkan-Sen (now at 1.5443) would be the first sign that a temporary top is possibly formed and bring test of the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.5396) but break of support at 1.5335 is needed to confirm.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8800; (P) 0.8832; (R1) 0.8858; More.

EUR/GBP's break of 0.8802 minor support suggests that recovery from 0.8704 is completed. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside and whole decline from 0.9137 is possibly resuming for 0.8601/62 support zone. However, note that such fall is treated as the fifth leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 0.9799. Hence, downside should be contained by this 0.8601/62 support zone to conclude the consolidation finally. On the upside, break of 0.8887 support turned resistance will indicate that such fall has completed and will bring stronger rally to retest 0.9132 next.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
EURJPY 126.62 127.28 -66 -0.52%
EURGBP 0.8783 0.8827 -44 -0.50%
EURUSD 1.3596 1.3653 -57 -0.42%
CHFJPY 88.25 88.61 -36 -0.41%
GBPCHF 1.6330 1.6264 +66 +0.40%

Last Updated: Apr 15, 07:50 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 15, 07:50 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:30 NZD Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index Mar 56.3 -- 53.3 53.6
23:00 USD Fed Sack Speaks -- --
23:01 GBP Nationwide Consumer Confidence Mar 72 81 80 81
01:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectation Apr 4.10% -- 3.20%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Feb F -0.90% -0.90%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production Y/Y Feb F 31.30% 31.30%
08:00 EUR ECB Monthly Report -- --
12:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Apr 24 22.86
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 440K 460K
13:00 USD Net Long-term TIC Flows Feb 39.2B 19.1B
13:15 USD Industrial Production Mar 0.70% 0.10%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Mar 73.30% 72.70%
14:00 USD Philly Fed Survey Apr 20 18.9
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 81B 31B
14:30 USD Fed Lacker Speaks -- --
16:15 USD Fed Bullard -- --
17:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Apr 16 15
17:40 USD Fed Lockhart Speaks -- --
19:00 USD Former Fed Chairman Volcker Speaks -- --
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