Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-6-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Euro Sharply Lower on Greece Worry

Euro remains under tremendous pressure throughout the day on renewed concern on Greece. It's reported that Greece is seeking to amend the agreement with EUR to bypass IMF and in that case, Greece would avoid austerity measures that face strong domestic opposition. The news re-raised the uncertainty around the Greece situation and threw the whole rescue plan back into question. Euro is sharply lower against dollar and yen and dives to new record low against Aussie.

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Special Report

RBA: The Normalization Process Continues

The RBA raised its cash rate by another +25 bps to 4.25% in April. The action was widely expected as economic development in Australia has been outperforming its counterparts in advanced economies.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 124.50

Although euro rise to as high as 127.95 last week, the subsequent sharp retreat from there suggests the wave i of iii has formed a top there and correction in wave ii is now in progress for weakness to 125.31 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 121.05 to 127.95), however, renewed buying interest should emerge around 124.50 (50% Fibonacci retracement) and bring another rally later. Only above 126.90-127.00 would suggest pullback from 127.95 is over and bring retest of this level later.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.9180

As aussie has rallied again after intra-day brief retreat to 0.9165 due to rate hike by RBA, suggesting recent upmove is still in progress in wave 3 for further gain to resistance at 0.9331 and later towards next chart point at 0.9407.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3449; (P) 1.3494 (R1) 1.3527; More.

EUR/USD's break of 1.3381 support argues that recovery from 1.3266 is already completed at 1.3590. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside for retesting 1.3266 first. Decisive break there will confirm medium term down trend resumption and should target 100% projection of 1.3817 to 1.3266 from 1.3590 at 1.3039 next, which is close to 1.3 psychological level. On the upside, above 1.3590 resistance will suggest that consolidation from 1.3266 is still in progress for another rise to 1.3817 and above.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
EURJPY 125.56 127.23 -167 -1.33%
GBPJPY 142.41 144.29 -188 -1.32%
CHFJPY 87.68 88.82 -114 -1.30%
NZDJPY 65.58 66.31 -73 -1.11%
GBPAUD 1.6425 1.6596 -171 -1.04%

Last Updated: Apr 06, 13:45 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 06, 13:45 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
04:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision 4.25% 4.25% 4.00%
05:00 JPY Leading Index Feb P 97.9 97.8 96.7 96.9
07:15 CHF CPI M/M Mar 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
07:15 CHF CPI Y/Y Mar 1.40% 1.40% 0.90%
08:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Apr 2.5 -5.9 -7.5
08:30 GBP PMI Construction Mar 53.1 48.7 48.5
18:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes -- --
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