Friday, April 16, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 4-16-10

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Action Insight Daily Report

Daily Report: Yen and Dollar Rebound in Directionless Trades

Yen rebounds strongly today as Asian stocks are dragged down by concern of tightening after China said yesterday that it will raise the minimum downpayment on purchases of some residential property and free up more land for building to cool soaring housing costs. Dollar is also lifted mildly, in particular against Canadian dollar as crude oil dropped back below 85 level. Markets are lacking a clear direction for the moment and we would probably see more strength in dollar and yen as traders lighten up positions before the week closes.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell At 1.3635

Although the single currency recovered from yesterday's low of 1.3521 to this morning's high of 1.3586, as euro has fallen again partly due to cross selling against Japanese yen, suggesting consolidation with downside bias would be seen for weakness to the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 1.3494) but break of the lower Kumo (now at 1.3479) is needed to signal top has been formed at 1.3692 earlier and extend weakness to 1.3439 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3282 to 1.3692) but reckon 1.3340/50 would hold from here.

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Trade Idea: USD/CHF - Sell At 1.0680

Yesterday's strong rebound to 1.0612 suggests the fall from 1.0786 has formed a temporary low at 1.0503 and a break above the Ichimoku cloud bottom (now at 1.0610 would bring correction to 1.0678 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0786 to 1.0503), however, as broad outlook is still consolidative, reckon 1.0700/10 would hold and bring another retreat later. A breach below 1.0503 support would signal the decline from 1.0899 top has resumed for eventual retest of 1.0435 later next week.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.49; (P) 126.58; (R1) 127.35; More.

EUR/JPY's break of 125.69 minor support indicates that consolidation from 127.88 is still in progress with current fall from 127.65 as the third leg. Intraday bias is on the downside and further decline could now be seen towards 123.41 support. Nevertheless, break of 121.05 support is needed to indicate that rebound from 119.64 is completed. Otherwise, another rise would remain mildly in favor. Above 126.68 minor resistance will flip intraday bias back to the upside for 127.88 resistance first.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
GBPJPY 142.64 144.13 -149 -1.04%
EURJPY 125.38 126.27 -89 -0.71%
AUDJPY 86.32 86.92 -60 -0.70%
CHFJPY 87.48 88.05 -57 -0.65%
GBPUSD 1.5395 1.5493 -98 -0.64%

Last Updated: Apr 16, 07:20 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 16, 07:20 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
01:00 USD Fed Janet Yellen Speaks -- --
07:15 CHF Combined PPI M/M Mar 0.40% -0.30%
07:15 CHF Combined PPI Y/Y Mar -0.10% -1.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI M/M Mar 0.90% 0.30%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Mar 1.50% 1.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI - Core Y/Y Mar 0.90% 0.80%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Feb 3.0B 1.8B
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M Feb 1.00% 2.40%
12:30 CAD New Motor Vehicle Sales M/M Feb 7.00% 0.00%
12:30 USD Housing Starts Mar 610K 575K
12:30 USD Building Permits Mar 625K 612K
13:00 USD Fed Warsh Speaks in New York City -- --
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Apr P 75 73.6
17:00 USD Fed Hoenig Speaks in New York City -- --
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