Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-14-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Mid-Day Report: AUD and CAD Strong on Risk Appetite, Euro Ranges

Commodity currencies remain strong today as solid earnings results send stock futures higher while retail sales from US was also solid. USD/CAD dives through recent low of 0.9976 and reaches as low as 0.9960 so far. AUD/USD also climbs to as high as 0.9348 and is set to take on 0.9380 resistance. Yen remains generally soft on risk appetite but there is no decisive momentum to resume recent down trend yet. Meanwhile, Euro continues to stuck in range against dollar and sterling but is starting to look vulnerable against Swissy.

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Special Report

Who Will Benefit from Revaluation in Yuan?

US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's unscheduled meeting to Beijing on April 8 and the postponement the deadline (originally on April 15) of a US review of China's currency policies rekindle speculations that the Chinese government will allow the Renminbi (RMB, CNY, Yuan) to appreciate.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Hold Long Entered At 126.20

As aussie rebounded after holding above indicated support at 126.00 and the breach of resistance at 127.46 reinforces our bullishness for upmove to extend gain to 127.95 (wave i top) and then towards 128.50 and then 129.00.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.9180

Although aussie rebounded after falling to 0.9223 yesterday, break of resistance at 0.9389 (wave (i) top) is needed to signal upmove has resumed for retest of 0.9407, otherwise, further consolidation would take place. Below said support would bring retracement towards 0.9170/80 before prospect of another upmove in wave (iii) of 3 later.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9987; (P) 1.0026; (R1) 1.0048; More.

USD/CAD's break of 0.9976 support indicates that recent decline has resumed and further fall should now be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0679 to 1.0062 from 1.0302 at 0.9921 next and then 0.9823 support. On the upside, break of 1.0104 resistance, however, will indicate that a short term bottom is at least formed with bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. In such case, we'd expect stronger rebound to 1.0302 resistance and above.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
AUDNZD 1.3091 1.3014 +77 +0.59%
NZDUSD 0.7108 0.7136 -28 -0.39%
CADJPY 93.41 93.08 +33 +0.35%
AUDJPY 86.87 86.57 +30 +0.35%
NZDJPY 66.33 66.50 -17 -0.26%

Last Updated: Apr 13, 06:30 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 13, 06:30 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:00 USD ABC Consumer Confidence (APR 11) -47 -- -43
22:45 NZD Retail Sales M/M Feb -0.60% 0.20% 0.80% 0.70%
22:45 NZD Retail Sales ex Auto M/M Feb -0.90% 0.40% 0.30%
23:00 USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks -- --
23:15 USD Fed Lacker Speaks -- --
00:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Apr -1.00% -- 0.20%
06:30 JPY BoJ Governor Shirakawa Speak -- --
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Feb 0.90% 0.10% 1.70% 1.60%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production Y/Y Feb 4.10% 2.80% 1.10% 1.00%
12:30 USD Advance Retail Sales Mar 1.60% 1.10% 0.30% 0.50%
12:30 USD Retail Sales Less Autos Mar 0.60% 0.50% 0.80% 1.00%
12:30 USD CPI M/M Mar 0.10% 0.10% 0.00%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Mar 2.30% 2.40% 2.10%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Mar 0.00% 0.10% 0.10%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Mar 1.10% 1.20% 1.30%
13:30 USD Fed Pianalto Speaks -- --
14:00 USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies -- --
14:00 USD Business Inventories Feb 0.30% 0.00%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.4M 2.0M
15:00 USD Fed Lacker Speaks -- --
17:00 USD Fed Fisher Speaks -- --
18:00 USD Fed Beige Book -- --
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