Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-27-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Dollar and Yen Strike on Greece Contagion Concern

Dollar and yen fight back today on risk aversion as European stock markets are broadly low on concern of debt-contagion in the Eurozone. ECB Vice President Papademos said that the EU/IMF aid program will "markets about the credibility of the fiscal adjustments and will contain potential contagion effects in the euro area," but markets are clearly not listening. CDS on Greece's 5 years bond rose again to 737 bps while that of Portugal also jumped to 335bps. Commodities also follow stocks lower with crude oil back below 84 while gold is trading below 1150.

Full Report Here...

Special Reports

Fed to Upgrade Economic Assessment and Keep 'Exceptionally Low Rate', 'Extended Period' Language

Regarding the FOMC meeting in April, the market has debated about retention of the 'extended period' language in the policy statement. While economic data have shown solid improvement in various aspects, the Fed will continue to keep its Fed funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25% on April 28 and we do not see the Fed will remove the language for the time being. Rather, policymakers will revise up economic assessment despite warning employment situation.

Full Report Here...

RBNZ to Leave Rates Unchanged at 2.5%, May Change the 'Middle of 2010' Statement

Similar to the consensus, we expect the RBNZ will keep the OCR at 2.5% at the meeting on April 29. Therefore, focus of the meeting is on the central bank's economic outlook as well as its implications on monetary stance. The RBNZ has guided in the post-meeting statement that it would 'begin removing policy stimulus around the middle of 2010' since April 2009 with brief modification in December. As we approaches 'the middle of 2010', we are interested to see if the central bank will make any change to the sentence. In our opinion, the RBNZ will change it to a conditional statement, saying a rate hike in coming months depending on economic data and inflation outlook.

Full Report Here...

Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 123.80

Failure to extend yesterday's rise and the subsequent stronger-than-expected retreat from 126.30 suggest further consolidation would take place and weakness to 123.90/00 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon support at 123.15 would continue to hold and bring another rebound later. Above said resistance at 126.30 would revive our bullish view that c leg as well as wave ii has ended at 123.15 and extend gain to 127.00, then towards 127.69 (b leg top) but break of 127.95 is needed to confirm wave iii has commenced.

Full Report Here...

Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Hold Long Entered At 0.9225

Despite yesterday's rise to 0.9313, lack of follow through buying and the retreat from there suggest further consolidation would be seen but as long as Friday's low at 0.9170 holds, bullishness remains for test of indicated resistance at 0.9339, break there would bring retest of wave (i) top at 0.9389, above there would confirm wave (iii) has resumed and extend gain towards chart resistance 0.9407 and later 0.9450.

Full Report Here...

Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3318; (P) 1.3357 (R1) 1.3423; More.

EUR/USD's break of 1.3291 minor support suggests that recovery form 1.3201 has completed at 1.3417 after hitting 4 hours 55 EMA. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside and break of 1.3201 will confirm down trend resumption. In such case, EUR/USD should target 61.8% projection of 1.4578 to 1.3443 from 1.3817 at 1.3113 next. On the upside, however, decisive break of 1.3417 resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn focus to falling trend line resistance at 1.3623 instead.

Read more...

All Technical Outlook Reports

Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
GBPJPY 143.21 145.21 -200 -1.40%
CADJPY 92.67 93.85 -118 -1.27%
EURJPY 124.16 125.74 -158 -1.27%
CHFJPY 86.54 87.57 -103 -1.19%
NZDJPY 67.14 67.92 -78 -1.16%

Last Updated: Apr 27, 13:35 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Apr 27, 13:35 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
01:30 AUD PPI Q/Q Q1 1.00% 0.60% -0.40%
01:30 AUD PPI Y/Y Q1 -0.10% -0.60% -1.50%
01:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Q1 17 -- 18
06:00 EUR German GfK Consumer Sentiment May 3.8 3.2 3.2 3.4
06:00 EUR German Import Price Index M/M Mar 1.70% 1.10% 1.00%
06:00 CHF UBS Consumption Indicator Mar 1.71 -- 1.2
10:00 GBP U.K. CBI Distributive Trades Apr 13 16 13
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Feb 0.60% 0.80% -0.70%
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence Apr 53.7 52.5
14:00 USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks -- --
Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

Forex Brokers
Advanced Currency Markets
Saxobank
CMS
MIG
GFT
InterbankFX
FXCM
MGForex
Sponsors

Attend The Traders Expo in Los Angeles, June 9-12, at the Pasadena Convention Center; your best opportunity in 2010 to meet face to face with the experts, test the latest products and software, and network with other traders to find out what’s working for them…and what isn’t. Attend free, learn from trading experts, and become a more confident, profitable trader. Register FREE


Forward this report to a friend!

Safe Unsubscribe
This email was sent to rsmithadverts.pewpew@blogger.com by contact@actionforex.com.

Action Forex Company Limited | Room 1707, 17/F | Treasure Center | 42 Hung To Road | Kwun Tong | Kowloon | 852 | Hong Kong

No comments:

Post a Comment