Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 8-31-10

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Swiss Franc Soars on Safe Haven Flows

Swiss franc continues to ride on wave of risk aversion trade and strengthens across the board today. Its strength impressively surpasses yen and dollar. Some cites the strong UBS consumption indicator, which rose to two year high of 1.86 as a trigger for swissy's strength. But it's believed that safe-haven flow from other European countries are the main driving force. Euro hit another record low against swissy and is now sustaining below 1.3 level. Sterling also dives against swiss franc after taking out 1.58 support level. In addition to that, Hungary's forint also fell to a record low against the swiss franc. We'd anticipate more upside in CHF in near term.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0229; (P) 1.0269; (R1) 1.0300; More.

USD/CHF's down trend resumes today and reaches as low as 1.0164 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside and further decline should be seen to lower trend line support (now at 1.0040). But we'd anticipate strong support at around parity to contain downside, at least initially. On the upside, break of 1.0308 resistance will in turn argue that a short term bottom is formed and bring recovery towards 1.0624/39 resistance zone.

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ECB To Extend Full Allotment Of Refinancing Operations Towards Year-End

At Thursday's ECB, president Trichet is expected to leave the main-refinancing rate unchanged at 1% and reiterate the view that current interest rates are 'appropriate' while 'the risks to the economic outlook are broadly balanced in an environment of uncertainty'. Market's focus will be on the press conference where Trichet will announce the new set of staff macroeconomic projections and extend emergency support for the Eurozone until early 2011.

Full Report Here...

BOJ Pledged 10 Trillion Yen For 6 Months To Stimulate Recovery

At the emergency held today, the Bank of Japan announced additional easing measures to boost Japan's economic recovery. The BOJ introduced a 6-month term in the fixed-rate funds-supplying operation against pooled collateral and substantially increased the amount of funds to be provided through the operation. This is the first unconventional measures that the BOJ adopted in 5 months.

Full Report Here...

Economic Indicators Update




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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Aug -18 -24 -22
23:15 JPY Manufacturing PMI Aug 50.1 -- 52.8
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Jul P 0.30% -0.20% -1.10%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production Y/Y Jul P 14.80% 14.30% 17.30%
23:50 JPY Retail Sales Y/Y Jul 3.90% 3.50% 3.20% 3.30%
01:30 AUD Building Approvals M/M Jul 2.30% -0.70% -3.30% -3.40%
01:30 AUD Current Account Balance (AUD) Q2 -5640M -6500M -16551M
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Jul 4.30% 2.10% 0.60%
06:00 CHF UBS Consumption Indicator Jul 1.86 -- 1.81
07:55 EUR German Unemployment Change Aug -17K -20K -20K -21K
07:55 EUR German Unemployment Rate Aug 7.60% 7.60% 7.60%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Estimate Y/Y Aug 1.60% 1.60% 1.70%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Jul 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Jun 0.20% 0.20% 0.10%
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Jun 4.20% 3.50% 4.61%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Aug 57.5 62.3
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence Aug 51 50.4
18:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes -- --
Candlesticks and Ichimoku Intraday Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD – Sell at 1.5470

Although the British pound has fallen after brief recovery, loss of near term downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below 1.5330/35 (50% projection of 1.5910 to 1.5373 measuring from 1.5599) and reckon 1.5322 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4228 to 1.5999) would limit downside, bring minor correction later.

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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF – Stand aside

Current cross-inspired selloff and the breach of 1.5442 support signals early rebound from 1.5373 (last week's low) has ended at 1.5599 and further weakness to 1.5389 is under way, break there would confirm early decline from 1.5999 has resumed and bring retest of 1.5373, then towards 1.5330/35 (50% projection of 1.5910 to 1.5373 measuring from 1.5599) but reckon 1.5322 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4228 to 1.5999) would limit downside.

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Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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Action Insight Daily Report 8-31-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Risk Aversion Back, Yen Crosses to Heading to New Lows, EUR/CHF Extends Down Trend

Yen strengthens across the board today as risk aversion dominates Asian markets. Nikkei dropped as much as -3.55% to close at 8824 in spite of yesterday's additional quantitative measures from BoJ. Former BoJ policy board member Nobuyuki Nakahara said that BoJ's measures were "too little and too late" and "can't stop the yen's advance." Asian equities are also broadly lower following late selling in US stocks which saw DOW back pressing 10000 level. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY have taken out minor support levels which indicates that last week's recovery is over and we'd likely seen new lows in theses yen crosses in near term. Swiss franc is also strong with EUR/CHF broken to new record low while GBP/CHF breaks 1.5825 support to resume recent down trend. Dollar is also benefited from risk aversion and is firm except versus yen and swissy.

Full Report Here...


jpyvol.png
nzdusdpiv.png

Featured Technical Report

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2935; (P) 1.3039; (R1) 1.3099; More

EUR/CHF breaks 1.2970 low to resume the whole fall from 1.3923 and reaches as low as 1.2912 so far. Intraday bias is back to the downside and further decline should be seen to 100% projection of 1.4587 to 1.3072 from 1.3923 at 1.2408 next. On the upside, break of 1.3143 resistance is needed to signal that EUR/CHF has made a short term bottom. Otherwise, outlook will still remain bearish even in case of recovery.

Read more...

Forex Brokers
Advanced Currency Markets Saxobank GFT InterbankFX FXCM MGForex
Special Reports

ECB To Extend Full Allotment Of Refinancing Operations Towards Year-End

At Thursday's ECB, president Trichet is expected to leave the main-refinancing rate unchanged at 1% and reiterate the view that current interest rates are 'appropriate' while 'the risks to the economic outlook are broadly balanced in an environment of uncertainty'. Market's focus will be on the press conference where Trichet will announce the new set of staff macroeconomic projections and extend emergency support for the Eurozone until early 2011.

Full Report Here...

BOJ Pledged 10 Trillion Yen For 6 Months To Stimulate Recovery

At the emergency held today, the Bank of Japan announced additional easing measures to boost Japan's economic recovery. The BOJ introduced a 6-month term in the fixed-rate funds-supplying operation against pooled collateral and substantially increased the amount of funds to be provided through the operation. This is the first unconventional measures that the BOJ adopted in 5 months.

Full Report Here...

Economic Indicators Update




Attend The Futures & Forex Expo Las Vegas, September 23-25, at Caesars Palace, where industry experts will help Forex & Futures traders make profitable trading decisions. Register FREE

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Aug -18 -24 -22
23:15 JPY Manufacturing PMI Aug 50.1 -- 52.8
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Jul P 0.30% -0.20% -1.10%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production Y/Y Jul P 14.80% 14.30% 17.30%
23:50 JPY Retail Sales Y/Y Jul 3.90% 3.50% 3.20% 3.30%
1:30 AUD Building Approvals M/M Jul 2.30% -0.70% -3.30% -3.40%
1:30 AUD Current Account Balance (AUD) Q2 -5640M -6500M -16551M
5:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Jul 4.30% 2.10% 0.60%
6:00 CHF UBS Consumption Indicator Jul 1.86 -- 1.81
7:55 EUR German Unemployment Change Aug -20K -20K
7:55 EUR German Unemployment Rate Aug 7.60% 7.60%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Estimate Y/Y Aug 1.60% 1.70%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Jul 10.00% 10.00%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Jun 0.20% 0.10%
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Jun 3.50% 4.61%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Aug 57.5 62.3
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence Aug 51 50.4
18:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes -- --
Candlesticks and Ichimoku Intraday Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CHF – Hold long entered at 1.0255

As the greenback has remained under pressure in part due to cross-buying in Swiss franc, suggesting caution on our long and support at 1.0220 needs to hold to retain prospect for another rebound later today, above the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 1.0278) would signal the retreat from 1.0309 has ended, then another corrective rise to this level would follow.

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Trade Idea: GBP/USD – Sell at 1.5495

Current cross-inspired selloff and the breach of 1.5442 support signals early rebound from 1.5373 (last week's low) has ended at 1.5599 and further weakness to 1.5389 is under way, break there would confirm early decline from 1.5999 has resumed and bring retest of 1.5373, then towards 1.5330/35 (50% projection of 1.5910 to 1.5373 measuring from 1.5599) but reckon 1.5322 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4228 to 1.5999) would limit downside.

Read more...

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


Forward this report to a friend!

Safe Unsubscribe
This email was sent to rsmithadverts.pewpew@blogger.com by contact@actionforex.com.

Action Forex Company Limited | Room 1707, 17/F | Treasure Center | 42 Hung To Road | Kwun Tong | Kowloon | 852 | Hong Kong