Monday, March 15, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 3-15-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Daily Report

Dollar Recovering Mildly from Critical Support

Dollar and yen recovers mildly as Asian market opens the week in a calm way. Asian stocks are mildly lower on profit taking after Friday's strong rally. Dollar is supported by weakness in crude oil which saw it back below 81 level. Also, traders are holding their bets ahead of a number of market moving events this week, which starts with manufacturing data and from US later today, and followed by FOMC rate decision, BoJ meeting as well as BoE minutes.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Buy At 1.3650

Although the single currency rose to 1.3796 last Friday, the subsequent retreat from there suggests minor consolidation would take place and retracement to the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.3667) cannot be ruled out, however, euro should find decent demand above the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 1.3644) and bring another upmove later. Above said resistance would extend the upmove from 1.3433 towards resistance at 1.3840/51 and possibly 1.3900 which is likely to hold from here.

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Buy At 89.65

Despite Friday's brief rise to 91.09, the quick retreat from there suggests consolidation below this level would take place and below the Kijun-Sen (now at 90.36) would bring minor correction to the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 89.85), however, renewed buying interest should emerge around previous support at 89.63 and lower Kumo (now at 89.41) should remain intact, bring another rise later. Above said resistance would extend the upmove from 88.14 to 91.30/40, however, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 91.70/80 and the greenback should falter well below resistance at 92.16 and bring correction later.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.84; (P) 124.52; (R1) 125.35; More.

We're neutral in EUR/JPY for the moment as it's very close to mentioned 125.22 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 134.36 to 119.64 at 125.26). Choppy recovery from 119.64 is treated as a correction in the larger fall only and is expected to be limited by 125.22 cluster resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 123.01 minor support will flip intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 119.64 low first. However, decisive break of 125.22/26 will invalidate out view and indicate that stronger rebound is underway for 61.8% retracement of 134.36 to 119.64 at 128.73 next.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
NZDJPY 63.84 63.52 +32 +0.50%
CADJPY 89.16 88.83 +33 +0.37%
NZDUSD 0.7040 0.7015 +25 +0.36%
EURCAD 1.3985 1.4031 -46 -0.33%
AUDNZD 1.2997 1.3037 -40 -0.31%

Last Updated: Mar 15, 07:05 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Mar 15, 07:05 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
0:01 GBP Rightmove House Prices M/M Mar 0.10% -- 3.20%
0:01 GBP Rightmove House Prices Y/Y Mar 5.30% -- 6.10%
5:00 JPY Households Confidence Feb 39.8 40 39
5:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Feb 40 -- 39.4
8:15 CHF Combined PPI M/M Feb 0.10% 0.30%
8:15 CHF Combined PPI Y/Y Feb -0.60% -1.30%
12:30 CAD New Motor Vehicle Sales M/M Jan 0.00% 2.60%
12:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Mar 20 24.91
13:00 USD Net Long-term TIC Flows Jan $50.3B $63.3B
13:15 USD Industrial Production Feb 0.00% 0.90%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Feb 72.60% 72.60%
17:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Mar 17 17
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