Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Action Insight Daily Report 3-24-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Daily Report

Euro Falls as EU Agrees to Seek IMF Role in Greece Aid

Euro resumed recent fall on news that EU is close to concluding an accord that gives IMF the central role in providing financial aids to Greece. The deal should have brokered between France and Germany after German Chancellor Merkel insisted that aid would be provided on if three conditions are met. The conditions are, if Greece couldn't raise funds in financial markets, the IMF makes a substantial contribution and EU sanctions against deficit limit violators are stiffened. The news undermined confidence in EU and investors perceived that as a sign that EU cannot resolve the Greek problem by themselves. Euro fell to record low against Swiss Franc and Australian dollar an remains weak.

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Candlesticks & Ichimoku Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell At 1.3505

Current breach of recent low at 1.3433 confirms recent decline from 1.5145 top has resumed and indicated initial downside target at 1.3405 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of entire rise from 1.2329 to 1.5145) has been met and further weakness towards 1.3350 (61.8% projection of 1.3819 to 1.3463 measuring from 1.3570) is under way, however, loss of downward momentum would prevent sharp fall below 1.3300 and reckon 1.3246 (50% projection of 1.4580 to 1.3433 measuring from 1.3819) would hold from here.

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Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Exit Long Entered At 89.90

Although the greenback has edged higher on dollar's strength especially versus European currencies, break of resistance at 90.81 is needed to retain bullishness and signal pullback from 91.09 has ended at 89.75, bring retest of this level, above there would extend rise from 88.14 towards 91.50, however, price should falter below resistance at 92.16.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3459; (P) 1.3514; (R1) 1.3553; More.

EUR/USD's break of 1.3435 low confirms that whole medium term decline from 1.5143 has resumed. Intraday bias remains on the downside and further fall should now be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.4578 to 1.3443 from 1.3817 at 1.3116 next. On the upside, above 1.3568 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But upside should be limited well below 1.3817 resistance and bring fall resumption.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
EURUSD 1.3418 1.3498 -80 -0.60%
NZDUSD 0.7034 0.7072 -38 -0.54%
GBPUSD 1.4969 1.5046 -77 -0.51%
EURJPY 121.48 122.01 -53 -0.44%
EURCAD 1.3654 1.3712 -58 -0.42%

Last Updated: Mar 24, 06:25 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Mar 24, 06:25 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Current Account Balance Q4 -3.57B -1.64B -1.41B -1.59B
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Feb 0.47T 0.41T 0.73T 0.65T
08:30 EUR German PMI Manufacturing Mar A 56.8 57.2
08:30 EUR German PMI Services Mar A 52 51.9
09:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Services Mar A 52 51.8
09:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Manufacturing Mar A 54 54.2
09:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate Mar 95.8 95.2
09:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations Mar 101 100.9
09:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment Mar 91 89.8
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial New Orders s.a. M/M Jan 2.00% 0.80%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial New Orders Y/Y Jan 14.40% 9.50%
12:30 GBP U.K. 2011 Budget Report -- --
12:30 USD Durable Goods Orders Feb 0.60% 3.00%
12:30 USD Durables Ex Transportation Feb 0.50% -0.60%
14:00 USD New Home Sales M/M Feb 1.90% -11.20%
14:00 USD New Home Sales Feb 315K 309K
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.3M 1.0M
14:45 USD Fed Thomas Hoenig Speaks -- --
17:05 CAD BoC Governor Carney Speaks -- --
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