Friday, March 5, 2010

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-5-10

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Mid-Day Report

Yen Sharply Lower as NFP Beats Expectations

The Japanese yen is sold off sharply in early US session after slightly better than expected job report from US. Investors once again turn positive on economic recovery and bid up stocks futures. Dollar manages to climb against Euro and Swissy but the strength is so far limited as most major currencies are supported by buying in respective yen crosses. Indeed, Australian dollar rebounds strongly against US dollar as AUD/JPY rose sharply through 81 level. Crude oil also spikes higher to 81.34.

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Elliott Wave Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy At 119.10

Although near term sideways trading within the range of 119.66-121.90 is expected to continue as suggested in our previous update, as long as said upper range holds, recent decline may extend marginally in wave v and break of said support would extend weakness to 119.10 (approx. 50% projection of 125.24-119.66 measuring from 121.90) but reckon 118.45 (61.8% projection) should hold, bring rebound later.

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Trade Idea: AUD/USD - Buy At 0.8865

As aussie retreated after early brief breach of 0.9072, suggesting further consolidation below 0.9086 would take place and retracement to 0.8900 cannot be ruled out, however, support at 0.8800 should remain intact and bring another rally later in wave iii. Break of said resistance would extend gain towards 0.9175 (previous support turned resistance) later.

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Featured Technical Report Market Highlights

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 88.36; (P) 88.81; (R1) 89.47; More.

USD/JPY's strong break of 89.51 resistance indicates that fall from 92.14 should have completed at 88.13 already. Intraday bias is now on the upside for near term falling trend line resistance, (now at 91.64). Break there will argue that fall from 93.74 has completed with three waves down to 88.13 and will turn focus to 92.14 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 89.31 minor support will indicate that rebound from 88.13 is completed and will turn bias back to the downside.

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Daily Top Movers

Top 5 Current Last Change
(Pips)
Change
(%)
NZDJPY 62.46 61.11 +135 +2.16%
AUDJPY 81.59 80.11 +148 +1.81%
CADJPY 87.65 86.28 +137 +1.56%
GBPJPY 135.34 133.81 +153 +1.13%
USDJPY 90.04 89.03 +101 +1.12%

Last Updated: Mar 05, 14:30 GMT

Currency Heat Map Daily View

USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD
USD
EUR
JPY
GBP

Last Updated: Mar 05, 14:30 GMT

Economic Indicators Update
GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
09:30 GBP PPI Input M/M Feb 0.10% 0.10% 2.00% 1.30%
09:30 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Feb 6.90% 7.80% 8.40% 7.70%
09:30 GBP PPI Output M/M Feb 0.30% 0.20% 0.40%
09:30 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Feb 4.10% 4.00% 3.80%
09:30 GBP PPI Output Core Y/Y Feb 2.90% 2.80% 2.50% 2.60%
11:00 EUR German Factory Orders M/M Jan 4.30% 1.30% -2.30% -1.60%
11:00 EUR German Factory Orders Y/Y Jan 19.60% 15.40% 8.40% 7.30%
13:30 USD Change in Non-Farm Payrolls Feb -36K -40K -20K -26K
13:30 USD Unemployment Rate Feb 9.70% 9.80% 9.70%
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